Prediction of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions via Manure Management in Indonesia and Alternative Policies for Indonesian Livestock Development

Aini, Nur; Hastomo, Widi; Yulika Go, Ratna

doi:10.30501/jree.2022.354796.1423

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

¹ Department of Management and Information Technology, Faculty of Management, Ahmad Dahlan Institute of Technology and Business

² Department of Information Technology, Faculty of Computer Science, Universitas Indonesia

10.30501/jree.2022.354796.1423

Abstract

The percentage of production and utilization of hydrocarbon resources from the livestock sector has raised concerns regarding the worldwide issue of global warming. A total CH4 emissions 78.3% from enteric fermentation and waste management. Meanwhile, N2O emissions are 75–80% of total agricultural emissions. This raises questions about the extent of global warming due to increased CO2 resulting in changes in weather and global warming. This research is aimed to predict Green House Gas (GHG) emissions from manure management and present policy alternatives for Indonesian livestock development. Secondary data is taken from fao.org with coverage throughout Indonesia from 1961 to 2021, containing 12,480 rows and 5 column features; item, Element, Year, Unit, and Value emission. LSTM and GRU are used to predict emission trends from manure management to provide alternative policies for greenhouse gas mitigation in Indonesia. The results showed that from a total of 15 types of livestock that emit GHG emissions, 3 types of livestock produce the highest emissions from 1961 to 2021: (a) Cattle, (b) Cattle, and non-dairy (c) Poultry birds. Significant reductions in carbon dioxide equivalent(CO2eq) emissions in 2020 are indicated by reduced public consumption, and hampered supply chains with large-scale social restrictions (covid-19 pandemic policy). Based on these results. the policy CO2eq emission mitigation is during the storage of manure, which leads to more sustainable fertilizer management practices. Mitigation to reduce methane emissions can also be done by utilizing livestock waste as biogas and improving animal feed additives using chitosan or potassium nitrate.

Keywords

Main Subjects

Renewable Energy Economics, Policies and Planning

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Journal of Renewable Energy and Environment

Prediction of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions via Manure Management in Indonesia and Alternative Policies for Indonesian Livestock Development

References

References

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 16 November 2022

Prediction of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions via Manure Management in Indonesia and Alternative Policies for Indonesian Livestock Development

References

References

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript Available Online from 16 November 2022

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 16 November 2022